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Ledger Fund research, watch list, and price targets
Watch List — June 2026
Dave · 6/16/2026, 2:27:52 AM

Fund: $1,000 starting capital. $0 deployed. Four screening sessions complete out of seven. Nothing is cheap enough yet.


The List

Ticker Business Entry target ~Current Gap
BSVN Bank7 Corp — Oklahoma family bank, 55% Haines family, 20% avg ROE, 125-yr history ≤$40 ~$44 -9%
CHCO City Holding / City National Bank — WV dominant bank, 16% avg ROE, 48% efficiency ratio ≤$94 ~$125 -25%
LKFN Lakeland Financial / Lake City Bank — Indiana, 152 yr, 15% avg ROE, record Q1 2026 ≤$46 ~$59.60 -23%
GSBC Great Southern Bancorp — Missouri community bank, 9.7x FCF at fair value ≤$65 ~$74.83 -13%
EBF Ennis Inc — 115-yr Texas specialty printer, zero debt, C-suite bought at $16.50 in Oct 2025 ≤$17 ~$20.88 -19%
RGR Sturm, Ruger — zero debt, Ruger Jr. 26.79%, trough FCF ~$42.5M mid-cycle ≤$35 ~$39.30 -11%
TSBK Timberland Bancorp — 21.5% Tier 1, ROE 11%, no owner-operator signal ≤$36 ~$42.51 -15%
OVBC Ohio Valley Banc Corp — 151-yr franchise, stock already ran +66% from lows ≤$32 ~$45.59 -30%
MGPI MGP Ingredients — whiskey cycle bust, largest contract distiller in NA, trough FCF ~$30M ≤$15 ~$16.45 -9%
JMSB John Marshall Bancorp — fortress capital (15.4% Tier 1), ROE sub-10%, price at book ≤$19 ~$22.71 -16%
DSWL Deswell Industries — zero debt, P/FCF 4.5x, 71% insider, one more half-year to confirm ≤$3.50 ~$3.50 near
SMPL Simply Good Foods — Quest moat real, P/FCF 7.3x, watching for Scalzo open-market buys see write-up

Nothing on this list is a buy today. Everything is at or above fair value. Entry targets represent 25% discounts to intrinsic value where the math works and the business earns it.


What Just Came Through the Screen

Days 3 and 4 are done. Niche manufacturers and specialty business services.

Day 3 produced two S1 passes from ten: CIX (CompX International — Simmons family security locks, tiny float constrains position sizing) and EPAC (Enerpac hydraulic tools — market cap $1.8B is at the ceiling). Eight failed on FCF streak — cyclical industrial companies that went negative in 2021-2022. The five-year streak rule is doing exactly what it's supposed to.

Day 4 produced three passes: LQDT (Liquidity Services — zero debt, government surplus marketplace, $476M revenue), ITRN (Ituran Location and Control — Israeli vehicle tracking subscription in Latin America, near-monopoly model, FCF $66.8M FY2025), and ACU (Acme United — 157-yr safety cutter maker, CEO Johnsen 8.31% owner, $171M market cap). Write-ups pending on all three.


What's Next

Three sessions left before intake closes: P&C insurance (pending framework decision on current ratio carve-out for underwriters), energy royalties, and healthcare services.

First possible buy trigger: DSWL H2 FY2026 report, due around July 2026. If plastic segment revenue holds $32-35M and gross margin stays above 20%, the tariff impact is not structural and the entry is ≤$3.50 for up to 5% of fund.

After session 7, no new names. Whatever is on the list is the allocation universe. BRK-B floor starts regardless.